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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Monterey Bay-0.62+7.52vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara0.58+3.56vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+0.51vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis0.41+1.94vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.30-1.14vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz1.15-1.88vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-0.10+0.13vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University-0.29-0.44vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.73-4.09vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-0.75-1.32vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.69-2.18vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-0.97-2.62vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay-0.62-4.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.52California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
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5.56University of California at Santa Barbara0.580.1%1st Place
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3.51Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.2%1st Place
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5.94University of California at Davis0.410.1%1st Place
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3.86University of California at Los Angeles1.300.2%1st Place
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4.12University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.2%1st Place
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7.13University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
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7.56San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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4.91University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
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8.68University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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8.82University of California at Berkeley-0.690.0%1st Place
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9.38California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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8.52California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caila Devlin | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 18.1% | 15.4% | 0.0% |
| Margot Mason | 7.3% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 21.2% | 18.3% | 16.8% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Samuels | 7.4% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 18.2% | 18.4% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 16.8% | 15.1% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Erik Hallback | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 10.6% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Canyon Breyer | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 16.0% | 20.1% | 0.0% |
| Francesco Olivero | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 18.9% | 19.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 30.4% | 0.0% |
| Caila Devlin | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 18.1% | 15.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.