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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1San Diego State University-0.29+6.72vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.73+3.10vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz1.15+1.10vs Predicted
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4California State University Monterey Bay-0.62+4.52vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis0.41+0.95vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara0.58-0.51vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.30-3.29vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-0.10-0.90vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.75-0.31vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-6.52vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands-0.97-1.60vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay-0.62-3.48vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-0.69-4.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.72San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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5.1University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
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4.1University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.2%1st Place
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8.52California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
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5.95University of California at Davis0.410.1%1st Place
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5.49University of California at Santa Barbara0.580.1%1st Place
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3.71University of California at Los Angeles1.300.2%1st Place
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7.1University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
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8.69University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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3.48Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.2%1st Place
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9.4California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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8.52California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
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8.73University of California at Berkeley-0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Hallback | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 0.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 9.0% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 16.2% | 14.2% | 15.8% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Caila Devlin | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 15.6% | 15.9% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Samuels | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Margot Mason | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 19.6% | 18.2% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Canyon Breyer | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 15.3% | 16.2% | 17.5% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 21.7% | 18.8% | 16.4% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 19.8% | 28.8% | 0.0% |
| Caila Devlin | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 15.6% | 15.9% | 0.0% |
| Francesco Olivero | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 15.9% | 15.3% | 19.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.