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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+2.07vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara-0.51+4.89vs Predicted
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3California State University Channel Islands-1.81+7.42vs Predicted
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4Santa Clara University-0.95+4.19vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.09+0.13vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.29-1.38vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.34-2.46vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.60-0.95vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.61-1.72vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-1.01-1.70vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-1.11-2.58vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-0.44-5.20vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay-1.72-2.71vs Predicted
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14California State University Monterey Bay-1.72-3.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.07Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.3%1st Place
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6.89University of California at Santa Barbara-0.510.1%1st Place
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10.42California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
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8.19Santa Clara University-0.950.0%1st Place
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5.13University of California at Los Angeles0.090.1%1st Place
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4.62University of California at Los Angeles0.290.1%1st Place
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4.54University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.1%1st Place
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7.05University of California at San Diego-0.600.0%1st Place
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7.28University of California at Berkeley-0.610.1%1st Place
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8.3University of California at Davis-1.010.0%1st Place
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8.42University of California at Berkeley-1.110.0%1st Place
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6.8San Diego State University-0.440.1%1st Place
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10.29California State University Monterey Bay-1.720.0%1st Place
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10.29California State University Monterey Bay-1.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kai Ponting | 27.1% | 22.0% | 16.9% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ariana Fernandez | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 19.1% | 31.9% | 0.0% |
| Jay Weber | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 10.8% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 13.4% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Keelin Davis | 14.0% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marie-Laure Golier | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Deshler | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Konrad Brine | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Zaleski | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bittner | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Sasha Wilson | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 19.9% | 30.1% | 0.0% |
| Sasha Wilson | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 19.9% | 30.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.