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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles0.09+4.27vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+1.03vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.34+1.66vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.29+0.70vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.60+2.08vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University-0.44+0.61vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara-0.51-0.19vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-1.01+0.24vs Predicted
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9Santa Clara University-0.95-0.71vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-1.11-1.45vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands-1.81-0.76vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay-1.72-1.80vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-0.61-5.69vs Predicted
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14California State University Monterey Bay-1.72-3.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.27University of California at Los Angeles0.090.1%1st Place
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3.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.3%1st Place
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4.66University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.1%1st Place
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4.7University of California at Los Angeles0.290.1%1st Place
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7.08University of California at San Diego-0.600.1%1st Place
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6.61San Diego State University-0.440.1%1st Place
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6.81University of California at Santa Barbara-0.510.1%1st Place
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8.24University of California at Davis-1.010.0%1st Place
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8.29Santa Clara University-0.950.0%1st Place
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8.55University of California at Berkeley-1.110.0%1st Place
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10.24California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
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10.2California State University Monterey Bay-1.720.0%1st Place
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7.31University of California at Berkeley-0.610.0%1st Place
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10.2California State University Monterey Bay-1.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Marshall | 10.4% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 27.9% | 23.2% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keelin Davis | 11.7% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 12.3% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marie-Laure Golier | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bittner | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Ariana Fernandez | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Konrad Brine | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Jay Weber | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Zaleski | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 17.2% | 30.2% | 0.0% |
| Sasha Wilson | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 18.4% | 30.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Deshler | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Sasha Wilson | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 18.4% | 30.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.