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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara-0.51+5.94vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+1.04vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.09+2.30vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.29+0.74vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.34-0.49vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University-0.44+0.61vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-1.01+1.22vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands-1.81+2.25vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-1.11-0.31vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay-1.72+0.06vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.60-4.05vs Predicted
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12Santa Clara University-0.95-3.62vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-0.61-5.67vs Predicted
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14California State University Monterey Bay-1.72-3.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.94University of California at Santa Barbara-0.510.1%1st Place
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3.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.3%1st Place
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5.3University of California at Los Angeles0.090.1%1st Place
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4.74University of California at Los Angeles0.290.1%1st Place
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4.51University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.1%1st Place
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6.61San Diego State University-0.440.1%1st Place
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8.22University of California at Davis-1.010.1%1st Place
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10.25California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
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8.69University of California at Berkeley-1.110.0%1st Place
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10.06California State University Monterey Bay-1.720.0%1st Place
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6.95University of California at San Diego-0.600.1%1st Place
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8.38Santa Clara University-0.950.0%1st Place
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7.33University of California at Berkeley-0.610.0%1st Place
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10.06California State University Monterey Bay-1.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ariana Fernandez | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 27.6% | 23.1% | 16.6% | 12.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 9.6% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 12.2% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Keelin Davis | 14.7% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bittner | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Konrad Brine | 5.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 18.7% | 31.2% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Zaleski | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 0.0% |
| Sasha Wilson | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 18.8% | 28.8% | 0.0% |
| Marie-Laure Golier | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Jay Weber | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Deshler | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Sasha Wilson | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 18.8% | 28.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.