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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara-0.51+6.08vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.34+2.58vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.60+4.44vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-0.87vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine-1.37+4.87vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.29-1.04vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-0.61+0.28vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-1.01+0.68vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.09-3.50vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-0.44-2.86vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-1.11-1.81vs Predicted
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12Santa Clara University-0.95-3.39vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands-1.81-2.06vs Predicted
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14California State University Monterey Bay-1.72-3.39vs Predicted
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15California State University Monterey Bay-1.72-4.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.08University of California at Santa Barbara-0.510.1%1st Place
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4.58University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.1%1st Place
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7.44University of California at San Diego-0.600.1%1st Place
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3.13Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.3%1st Place
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9.87University of California at Irvine-1.370.0%1st Place
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4.96University of California at Los Angeles0.290.1%1st Place
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7.28University of California at Berkeley-0.610.1%1st Place
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8.68University of California at Davis-1.010.0%1st Place
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5.5University of California at Los Angeles0.090.1%1st Place
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7.14San Diego State University-0.440.1%1st Place
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9.19University of California at Berkeley-1.110.0%1st Place
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8.61Santa Clara University-0.950.0%1st Place
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10.94California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
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10.61California State University Monterey Bay-1.720.0%1st Place
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10.61California State University Monterey Bay-1.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ariana Fernandez | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Keelin Davis | 13.3% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marie-Laure Golier | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 27.3% | 21.2% | 15.8% | 12.7% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Neil Gompf | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 0.0% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 12.3% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Deshler | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Konrad Brine | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bittner | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Zaleski | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Jay Weber | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 17.1% | 28.4% | 0.0% |
| Sasha Wilson | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 12.0% | 18.4% | 23.3% | 0.0% |
| Sasha Wilson | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 12.0% | 18.4% | 23.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.