← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara-0.51+6.11vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Los Angeles0.09+3.23vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Irvine-1.37+6.72vs Predicted
-
4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-0.84vs Predicted
-
5California State University Channel Islands-1.81+5.99vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Los Angeles0.29-1.03vs Predicted
-
7San Diego State University-0.44-0.23vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Cruz0.34-3.20vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Berkeley-0.61-1.42vs Predicted
-
10Santa Clara University-0.95-1.28vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Berkeley-1.11-1.87vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Davis-1.01-3.25vs Predicted
-
13University of California at San Diego-0.60-5.57vs Predicted
-
14California State University Monterey Bay-1.72-3.36vs Predicted
-
15California State University Monterey Bay-1.72-4.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.11University of California at Santa Barbara-0.510.1%1st Place
-
5.23University of California at Los Angeles0.090.1%1st Place
-
9.72University of California at Irvine-1.370.0%1st Place
-
3.16Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.3%1st Place
-
10.99California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
-
4.97University of California at Los Angeles0.290.1%1st Place
-
6.77San Diego State University-0.440.1%1st Place
-
4.8University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.1%1st Place
-
7.58University of California at Berkeley-0.610.1%1st Place
-
8.72Santa Clara University-0.950.0%1st Place
-
9.13University of California at Berkeley-1.110.0%1st Place
-
8.75University of California at Davis-1.010.0%1st Place
-
7.43University of California at San Diego-0.600.0%1st Place
-
10.64California State University Monterey Bay-1.720.0%1st Place
-
10.64California State University Monterey Bay-1.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ariana Fernandez | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 10.8% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Neil Gompf | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 15.1% | 14.2% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 26.1% | 21.2% | 17.5% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 17.3% | 29.3% | 0.0% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 12.4% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bittner | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Keelin Davis | 13.7% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Deshler | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Jay Weber | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Zaleski | 2.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Konrad Brine | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Marie-Laure Golier | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Sasha Wilson | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 13.8% | 17.0% | 24.1% | 0.0% |
| Sasha Wilson | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 13.8% | 17.0% | 24.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.