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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.12+2.80vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley-1.03+5.43vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz-0.91+4.13vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.96+3.31vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.60+0.89vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-0.74+0.65vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-0.93+0.14vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-1.62+1.56vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.56+4.23vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.10+1.47vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26-2.46vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-1.46-2.91vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.90-2.05vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-2.18-2.04vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-1.76-4.75vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-2.87-2.03vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.30-8.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.8University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.2%1st Place
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7.43University of California at Berkeley-1.030.1%1st Place
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7.13University of California at Santa Cruz-0.910.1%1st Place
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7.31Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.960.1%1st Place
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5.89Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.600.1%1st Place
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6.65University of California at Los Angeles-0.740.1%1st Place
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7.14University of California at Davis-0.930.1%1st Place
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9.56University of California at Los Angeles-1.620.0%1st Place
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13.23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.560.0%1st Place
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11.47Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.100.0%1st Place
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8.54Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.1%1st Place
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9.09University of California at Los Angeles-1.460.0%1st Place
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10.95University of California at San Diego-1.900.0%1st Place
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11.96University of California at San Diego-2.180.0%1st Place
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10.25University of California at Davis-1.760.0%1st Place
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13.97University of California at San Diego-2.870.0%1st Place
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8.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Miller | 22.7% | 17.9% | 14.7% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Guiraud | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Marcus Leitner | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Millan Chaudhary | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Mitchell Carroll | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Tang | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jonah Brees | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Oliver van Moon | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 2.8% |
| Ryan Schackel | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 12.1% | 16.6% | 24.3% |
| Liam Keeton | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 8.7% |
| Macy Rowe | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Xinyu Zhou | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Julien Stroumza | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% |
| Chieko Imai | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 12.9% |
| Grace Chitouras | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 4.5% |
| Jay Tapadiya | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 17.8% | 33.6% |
| Jack Kelly | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.