← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College0.70+7.02vs Predicted
-
2Brown University1.85+3.23vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+1.98vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00+2.96vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University1.18+1.85vs Predicted
-
6Dartmouth College1.45-0.15vs Predicted
-
7Brown University1.01+0.01vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island0.12+1.64vs Predicted
-
9Yale University1.57-3.76vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University0.66-2.02vs Predicted
-
11Maine Maritime Academy0.15-1.28vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont0.24-1.82vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University1.01-5.95vs Predicted
-
14McGill University-1.51-0.08vs Predicted
-
15Connecticut College-1.05-1.91vs Predicted
-
16Middlebury College-1.76-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.02Dartmouth College0.704.8%1st Place
-
5.23Brown University1.8512.1%1st Place
-
4.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.6313.8%1st Place
-
6.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.007.8%1st Place
-
6.85Northeastern University1.187.6%1st Place
-
5.85Dartmouth College1.4510.1%1st Place
-
7.01Brown University1.017.1%1st Place
-
9.64University of Rhode Island0.123.2%1st Place
-
5.24Yale University1.5713.1%1st Place
-
7.98Tufts University0.666.3%1st Place
-
9.72Maine Maritime Academy0.153.1%1st Place
-
10.18University of Vermont0.242.8%1st Place
-
7.05Tufts University1.016.3%1st Place
-
13.92McGill University-1.510.5%1st Place
-
13.09Connecticut College-1.051.0%1st Place
-
14.26Middlebury College-1.760.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Hurwitz | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Laura Hamilton | 12.1% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 13.8% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Laura Slovensky | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Drulard | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sidney Moyer | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 1.4% |
| Audrey Foley | 13.1% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Meredith Broadus | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Jane Marvin | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 4.8% | 0.9% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 1.8% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Alex Anderson | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 14.3% | 25.7% | 34.8% |
| Viola Henry | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 10.5% | 20.1% | 25.4% | 17.2% |
| Talia Trigg | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 13.2% | 23.9% | 42.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.