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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.60+5.26vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley-1.03+5.88vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.12+1.00vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz-0.91+3.15vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.90+5.97vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-1.62+4.07vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-0.74-0.34vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-1.76+2.45vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-2.18+3.22vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-1.46-0.40vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-2.87+3.50vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-1.02-4.04vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26-4.52vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.30-5.50vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.61-1.41vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.10-4.01vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.56-3.36vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-0.93-10.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.26Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.600.1%1st Place
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7.88University of California at Berkeley-1.030.1%1st Place
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4.0University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.2%1st Place
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7.15University of California at Santa Cruz-0.910.1%1st Place
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10.97University of California at San Diego-1.900.0%1st Place
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10.07University of California at Los Angeles-1.620.0%1st Place
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6.66University of California at Los Angeles-0.740.1%1st Place
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10.45University of California at Davis-1.760.0%1st Place
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12.22University of California at San Diego-2.180.0%1st Place
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9.6University of California at Los Angeles-1.460.1%1st Place
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14.5University of California at San Diego-2.870.0%1st Place
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7.96University of California at Irvine-1.020.1%1st Place
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8.48Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.1%1st Place
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8.5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.300.1%1st Place
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13.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.610.0%1st Place
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11.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.100.0%1st Place
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13.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.560.0%1st Place
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7.07University of California at Davis-0.930.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Carroll | 9.8% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| James Guiraud | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Alexis Miller | 18.9% | 18.9% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marcus Leitner | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Julien Stroumza | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 4.3% |
| Oliver van Moon | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 2.4% |
| Kevin Tang | 8.4% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Grace Chitouras | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 2.7% |
| Chieko Imai | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 8.1% |
| Xinyu Zhou | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Jay Tapadiya | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 15.1% | 31.2% |
| Paulo Garcia Lopez | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Macy Rowe | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Jack Kelly | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Hunter Helfgott | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 19.5% |
| Liam Keeton | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.5% |
| Ryan Schackel | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 16.1% | 19.1% |
| Jonah Brees | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.