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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.12+3.05vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-1.90+9.37vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-1.03+4.88vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz-0.91+3.12vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-1.62+4.92vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-0.74+0.67vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.60-0.92vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-1.76+2.53vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-1.02-1.43vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-0.93-2.51vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-2.87+3.49vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26-3.11vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.30-4.38vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.56-0.75vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-1.46-5.71vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.10-4.04vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.61-3.20vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-2.18-6.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.05University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.2%1st Place
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11.37University of California at San Diego-1.900.0%1st Place
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7.88University of California at Berkeley-1.030.1%1st Place
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7.12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.910.1%1st Place
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9.92University of California at Los Angeles-1.620.0%1st Place
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6.67University of California at Los Angeles-0.740.1%1st Place
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6.08Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.600.1%1st Place
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10.53University of California at Davis-1.760.0%1st Place
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7.57University of California at Irvine-1.020.1%1st Place
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7.49University of California at Davis-0.930.1%1st Place
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14.49University of California at San Diego-2.870.0%1st Place
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8.89Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
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8.62Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.300.1%1st Place
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13.25Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.560.0%1st Place
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9.29University of California at Los Angeles-1.460.0%1st Place
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11.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.100.0%1st Place
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13.8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.610.0%1st Place
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12.0University of California at San Diego-2.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Miller | 20.3% | 17.7% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julien Stroumza | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 3.9% |
| James Guiraud | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Marcus Leitner | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Oliver van Moon | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| Kevin Tang | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Mitchell Carroll | 10.4% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Grace Chitouras | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 2.8% |
| Paulo Garcia Lopez | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Jonah Brees | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Jay Tapadiya | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 31.8% |
| Macy Rowe | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Jack Kelly | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Schackel | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 16.5% | 16.6% |
| Xinyu Zhou | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Liam Keeton | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 7.9% |
| Hunter Helfgott | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 12.4% | 17.2% | 20.7% |
| Chieko Imai | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.