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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Davis-2.70+11.17vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz-1.14+4.56vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz-0.73+2.25vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles-0.61+0.93vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.12+5.22vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-1.67+2.90vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.36+0.48vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.35-0.66vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.58-0.53vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57-1.83vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.09-0.56vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.37-4.51vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-2.13-2.40vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-2.52-2.01vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-1.95-5.22vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.74-6.98vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley-3.26-2.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.17University of California at Davis-2.700.0%1st Place
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6.56University of California at Santa Cruz-1.140.1%1st Place
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5.25University of California at Santa Cruz-0.730.1%1st Place
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4.93University of California at Los Angeles-0.610.2%1st Place
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10.22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.120.0%1st Place
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8.9University of California at Davis-1.670.1%1st Place
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7.48Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.360.1%1st Place
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7.34Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.350.1%1st Place
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8.47University of California at Los Angeles-1.580.0%1st Place
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8.17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.570.1%1st Place
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10.44Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.090.0%1st Place
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7.49University of California at San Diego-1.370.1%1st Place
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10.6University of California at San Diego-2.130.0%1st Place
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11.99University of California at San Diego-2.520.0%1st Place
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9.78University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
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9.02Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.740.0%1st Place
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14.2University of California at Berkeley-3.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor White | 3.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 15.2% | 17.5% |
| Grant Gravallese | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Burleigh Charlton | 13.7% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 16.5% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Galusha | 2.7% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 5.4% |
| Duru Guney | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Kaden Caliendo | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Sebastien Danthinne | 8.9% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Ethan Mitchell | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Chris Haugen | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Adriana Yarkin | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 4.9% |
| Blair Caccam | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Stephen Burt | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% |
| Elizaveta Pertseva | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 13.2% |
| Deven Douglas | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 3.0% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Carl Hentges | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 14.9% | 41.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.