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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.36+6.29vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-1.37+5.39vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles-0.61+1.90vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz-1.14+2.70vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.12+5.26vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-1.58+2.51vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz-0.73-1.79vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.09+2.09vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.74+0.12vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57-1.81vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.35-3.42vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-1.95-2.30vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-1.67-4.15vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-2.70-1.38vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-2.13-4.53vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-2.52-4.05vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley-3.26-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.29Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.360.1%1st Place
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7.39University of California at San Diego-1.370.1%1st Place
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4.9University of California at Los Angeles-0.610.2%1st Place
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6.7University of California at Santa Cruz-1.140.1%1st Place
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10.26Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.120.0%1st Place
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8.51University of California at Los Angeles-1.580.1%1st Place
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5.21University of California at Santa Cruz-0.730.1%1st Place
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10.09Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.090.0%1st Place
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9.12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.740.0%1st Place
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8.19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.570.1%1st Place
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7.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.350.1%1st Place
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9.7University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
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8.85University of California at Davis-1.670.1%1st Place
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12.62University of California at Davis-2.700.0%1st Place
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10.47University of California at San Diego-2.130.0%1st Place
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11.95University of California at San Diego-2.520.0%1st Place
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14.18University of California at Berkeley-3.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaden Caliendo | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Blair Caccam | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 16.0% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grant Gravallese | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Galusha | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 4.8% |
| Ethan Mitchell | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Burleigh Charlton | 12.6% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adriana Yarkin | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 5.4% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| Chris Haugen | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Sebastien Danthinne | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Deven Douglas | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 2.9% |
| Duru Guney | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Conor White | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 16.2% | 18.5% |
| Stephen Burt | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 5.9% |
| Elizaveta Pertseva | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 14.7% | 12.5% |
| Carl Hentges | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 14.7% | 40.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.