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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz-0.73+4.88vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles-0.61+3.34vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz-1.14+4.24vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.12+6.93vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57+3.78vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-1.67+3.31vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-1.58+1.90vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.37-0.05vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-1.24-1.54vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-1.95+0.67vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.09+0.11vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.36-3.72vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.35-5.17vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-2.52-1.74vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-2.13-3.95vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-2.70-2.60vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.74-7.30vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley-3.26-3.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.88University of California at Santa Cruz-0.730.1%1st Place
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5.34University of California at Los Angeles-0.610.1%1st Place
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7.24University of California at Santa Cruz-1.140.1%1st Place
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10.93Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.120.0%1st Place
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8.78Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.570.1%1st Place
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9.31University of California at Davis-1.670.1%1st Place
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8.9University of California at Los Angeles-1.580.1%1st Place
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7.95University of California at San Diego-1.370.1%1st Place
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7.46University of California at Irvine-1.240.1%1st Place
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10.67University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
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11.11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.090.0%1st Place
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8.28Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.360.1%1st Place
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7.83Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.350.1%1st Place
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12.26University of California at San Diego-2.520.0%1st Place
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11.05University of California at San Diego-2.130.0%1st Place
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13.4University of California at Davis-2.700.0%1st Place
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9.7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.740.0%1st Place
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14.89University of California at Berkeley-3.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burleigh Charlton | 11.6% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 12.5% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Grant Gravallese | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Galusha | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% |
| Chris Haugen | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Duru Guney | 5.6% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% |
| Ethan Mitchell | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Blair Caccam | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Jessica Woodruff | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Deven Douglas | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 3.4% |
| Adriana Yarkin | 4.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% |
| Kaden Caliendo | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Sebastien Danthinne | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Elizaveta Pertseva | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 11.7% |
| Stephen Burt | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 5.2% |
| Conor White | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 15.5% | 18.7% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 1.6% |
| Carl Hentges | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 39.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.