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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz-1.14+5.45vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz-0.73+3.17vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-1.37+4.51vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.35+3.51vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.36+2.25vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-0.61-0.95vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-1.67+1.72vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-1.95+1.56vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.58-0.55vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-2.13+0.31vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57-2.48vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-3.26+2.10vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-2.52-0.99vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-2.70-1.41vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.74-6.12vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.12-5.45vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.09-6.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.45University of California at Santa Cruz-1.140.1%1st Place
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5.17University of California at Santa Cruz-0.730.1%1st Place
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7.51University of California at San Diego-1.370.1%1st Place
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7.51Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.350.1%1st Place
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7.25Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.360.1%1st Place
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5.05University of California at Los Angeles-0.610.1%1st Place
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8.72University of California at Davis-1.670.0%1st Place
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9.56University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
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8.45University of California at Los Angeles-1.580.0%1st Place
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10.31University of California at San Diego-2.130.0%1st Place
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8.52Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.570.1%1st Place
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14.1University of California at Berkeley-3.260.0%1st Place
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12.01University of California at San Diego-2.520.0%1st Place
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12.59University of California at Davis-2.700.0%1st Place
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8.88Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.740.1%1st Place
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10.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.120.0%1st Place
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10.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Gravallese | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Burleigh Charlton | 14.2% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blair Caccam | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Sebastien Danthinne | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Kaden Caliendo | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 14.3% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Duru Guney | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Deven Douglas | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 3.3% |
| Ethan Mitchell | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Stephen Burt | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 5.0% |
| Chris Haugen | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Carl Hentges | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 15.1% | 40.3% |
| Elizaveta Pertseva | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 14.9% | 12.3% |
| Conor White | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 19.0% | 17.5% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Ryan Galusha | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.1% |
| Adriana Yarkin | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.