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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.40+3.06vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.98+3.33vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.79+2.41vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.82+1.26vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.26+1.37vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.28-1.75vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.16-2.24vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-3.83vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.06Georgetown University2.4015.3%1st Place
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5.33Fordham University1.989.5%1st Place
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5.41Cornell University1.798.8%1st Place
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5.26George Washington University1.828.5%1st Place
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6.37Old Dominion University1.265.9%1st Place
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4.25U. S. Naval Academy2.2815.3%1st Place
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4.76University of Pennsylvania2.1611.4%1st Place
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4.17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5715.7%1st Place
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5.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.779.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Mateo Di Blasi | 15.3% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 2.8% |
Jacob Zils | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 13.0% |
Sophia Devling | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 14.1% |
Tyler Wood | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 10.7% |
Blake Goodwin | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 16.2% | 28.6% |
Jack Welburn | 15.3% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 4.3% |
Jackson McAliley | 11.4% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.0% |
Owen Hennessey | 15.7% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 3.6% |
Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.