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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.79+8.64vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63+4.33vs Predicted
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3Brown University4.49+3.84vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin4.10+4.29vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.89+0.46vs Predicted
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6Boston University4.07+2.31vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida4.17+1.04vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.68+2.29vs Predicted
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9Washington College3.65+1.03vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.02+2.73vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.23+0.99vs Predicted
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12Tufts University4.08-3.32vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79-3.66vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.87-0.47vs Predicted
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15Tulane University1.64+1.67vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.84-2.61vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.73-3.23vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-8.89vs Predicted
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19Harvard University4.17-11.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.790.0%1st Place
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6.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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6.84Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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8.29University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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5.46Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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8.31Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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8.04University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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10.29Connecticut College3.680.0%1st Place
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10.03Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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12.73University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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11.99Yale University3.230.0%1st Place
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8.68Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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13.53University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.0%1st Place
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16.67Tulane University1.640.0%1st Place
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13.39George Washington University2.840.0%1st Place
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13.77Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
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9.11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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7.56Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Padnos | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Samuel Ingham | 11.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Fred Strammer | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Sinks | 12.2% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Greenfield | 7.3% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Zachary Marks | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Maggie Shea | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Michael Whitford | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 4.8% |
| Rob Struckett | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 4.2% |
| William Haeger | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Philip Crain | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 16.0% | 9.6% |
| Schuyler Hemmerdinger | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 52.1% |
| William Ricketson | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 9.8% |
| Alexander Sachs | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 17.4% | 12.3% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| John Stokes | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.