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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+3.16vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.86+2.82vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.17+1.04vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.54-0.78vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.03-0.79vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.51-0.67vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University0.70+0.02vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia0.98-1.58vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin1.30-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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4.82Jacksonville University1.860.1%1st Place
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4.04College of Charleston2.170.2%1st Place
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3.22Cornell University2.540.2%1st Place
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4.21Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
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5.33Old Dominion University1.510.1%1st Place
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7.02Northwestern University0.700.0%1st Place
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6.42University of Virginia0.980.1%1st Place
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5.78University of Wisconsin1.300.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica Bennett | 14.7% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 15.9% | 14.2% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 2.1% |
| Paula Resto | 8.6% | 10.3% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 5.4% |
| Nicole Simon | 15.7% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Lilly Myers | 22.5% | 21.4% | 18.2% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 14.7% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 3.4% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 9.6% |
| Marina Hutzler | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 12.5% | 19.3% | 37.4% |
| Katarina Catallo | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 18.1% | 25.3% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 18.2% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.