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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.51+4.38vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+2.27vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.17+1.04vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.86+0.57vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.03-0.81vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.70+0.93vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia0.98-0.52vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.54-4.67vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin1.30-3.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.38Old Dominion University1.510.1%1st Place
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4.27St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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4.04College of Charleston2.170.2%1st Place
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4.57Jacksonville University1.860.1%1st Place
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4.19Georgetown University2.030.2%1st Place
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6.93Northwestern University0.700.0%1st Place
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6.48University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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3.33Cornell University2.540.2%1st Place
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5.81University of Wisconsin1.300.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Pokorny | 8.4% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 10.3% |
| Jessica Bennett | 11.4% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 13.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 2.8% |
| Nicole Simon | 15.9% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Paula Resto | 10.8% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 4.7% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 15.3% | 15.5% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 3.6% |
| Marina Hutzler | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 13.8% | 19.6% | 34.8% |
| Katarina Catallo | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 15.4% | 18.2% | 25.7% |
| Lilly Myers | 23.5% | 19.2% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 17.4% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.