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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.17+3.04vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.51+3.58vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.54+0.33vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.03+0.24vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.86-0.46vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.70+0.91vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-2.88vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.30-2.22vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia0.98-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04College of Charleston2.170.2%1st Place
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5.58Old Dominion University1.510.1%1st Place
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3.33Cornell University2.540.2%1st Place
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4.24Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
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4.54Jacksonville University1.860.1%1st Place
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6.91Northwestern University0.700.0%1st Place
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4.12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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5.78University of Wisconsin1.300.1%1st Place
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6.46University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole Simon | 15.9% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 1.7% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 6.3% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 16.1% | 12.7% | 12.1% |
| Lilly Myers | 22.0% | 20.4% | 16.4% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 14.1% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 3.1% |
| Paula Resto | 12.1% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% |
| Marina Hutzler | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 21.6% | 34.0% |
| Jessica Bennett | 13.8% | 15.5% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 2.0% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 16.8% | 15.3% |
| Katarina Catallo | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 19.4% | 25.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.