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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+3.13vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.54+1.46vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.51+2.43vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.17-0.08vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.03-0.79vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.86-1.40vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin1.30-1.14vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia0.98-1.55vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University0.70-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.2%1st Place
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3.46Cornell University2.540.2%1st Place
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5.43Old Dominion University1.510.1%1st Place
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3.92College of Charleston2.170.2%1st Place
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4.21Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
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4.6Jacksonville University1.860.1%1st Place
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5.86University of Wisconsin1.300.1%1st Place
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6.45University of Virginia0.980.1%1st Place
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6.95Northwestern University0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica Bennett | 15.6% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 16.2% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 2.3% |
| Lilly Myers | 19.2% | 20.1% | 16.3% | 15.6% | 12.0% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 7.1% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 9.6% |
| Nicole Simon | 15.7% | 16.6% | 14.6% | 15.1% | 13.4% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 14.7% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% |
| Paula Resto | 11.9% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 5.0% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 14.7% | 15.6% | 17.0% | 14.2% |
| Katarina Catallo | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 20.9% | 24.7% |
| Marina Hutzler | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 18.8% | 36.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.