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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.17+3.03vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+2.32vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.54+0.29vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.86+0.60vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University0.70+1.80vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia0.98+0.44vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.51-1.58vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.30-2.18vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.03-4.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.03College of Charleston2.170.2%1st Place
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4.32St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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3.29Cornell University2.540.2%1st Place
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4.6Jacksonville University1.860.1%1st Place
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6.8Northwestern University0.700.0%1st Place
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6.44University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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5.42Old Dominion University1.510.1%1st Place
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5.82University of Wisconsin1.300.1%1st Place
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4.28Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole Simon | 16.4% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 1.9% |
| Jessica Bennett | 11.6% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 3.4% |
| Lilly Myers | 23.0% | 19.7% | 16.4% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Paula Resto | 11.7% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 5.8% |
| Marina Hutzler | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 16.3% | 36.2% |
| Katarina Catallo | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 15.3% | 19.6% | 24.6% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 16.7% | 14.0% | 8.8% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 18.0% | 15.8% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 14.1% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.