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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.17+3.04vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+2.33vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.03+1.32vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia0.98+2.36vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University0.70+1.79vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.51-0.64vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.86-2.33vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.30-2.17vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.54-5.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04College of Charleston2.170.2%1st Place
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4.33St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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4.32Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
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6.36University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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6.79Northwestern University0.700.0%1st Place
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5.36Old Dominion University1.510.1%1st Place
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4.67Jacksonville University1.860.1%1st Place
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5.83University of Wisconsin1.300.1%1st Place
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3.3Cornell University2.540.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole Simon | 15.9% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 2.4% |
| Jessica Bennett | 11.9% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 16.4% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 3.7% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 13.4% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 3.1% |
| Katarina Catallo | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 18.2% | 24.9% |
| Marina Hutzler | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 17.5% | 35.6% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 9.0% |
| Paula Resto | 11.3% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 7.6% | 4.8% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 18.7% | 15.8% |
| Lilly Myers | 24.0% | 18.8% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.