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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+3.15vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.54+1.46vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.17+1.05vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.86+0.58vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University0.70+1.81vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.03-1.75vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.51-1.58vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.30-2.19vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia0.98-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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3.46Cornell University2.540.2%1st Place
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4.05College of Charleston2.170.2%1st Place
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4.58Jacksonville University1.860.1%1st Place
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6.81Northwestern University0.700.0%1st Place
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4.25Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
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5.42Old Dominion University1.510.1%1st Place
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5.81University of Wisconsin1.300.1%1st Place
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6.47University of Virginia0.980.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica Bennett | 14.9% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 2.7% |
| Lilly Myers | 18.7% | 22.2% | 14.3% | 16.6% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Nicole Simon | 16.1% | 14.4% | 15.1% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Paula Resto | 12.1% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 5.0% |
| Marina Hutzler | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 18.4% | 35.5% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 13.6% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 5.7% | 3.2% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 8.4% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 8.7% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 16.8% | 15.6% |
| Katarina Catallo | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 14.2% | 19.7% | 25.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.