← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University2.20+2.26vs Predicted
-
2Cornell University1.96+1.60vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University0.97+2.33vs Predicted
-
4Fordham University0.71+2.05vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy2.04-1.15vs Predicted
-
6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-0.18vs Predicted
-
7George Washington University0.93-1.22vs Predicted
-
8University of Pennsylvania1.16-2.71vs Predicted
-
9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.26Georgetown University2.2023.2%1st Place
-
3.6Cornell University1.9619.7%1st Place
-
5.33Old Dominion University0.978.0%1st Place
-
6.05Fordham University0.715.4%1st Place
-
3.85U. S. Naval Academy2.0416.8%1st Place
-
5.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.916.2%1st Place
-
5.78George Washington University0.937.4%1st Place
-
5.29University of Pennsylvania1.167.8%1st Place
-
6.02St. Mary's College of Maryland0.675.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Piper Holthus | 23.2% | 18.6% | 17.8% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
Winborne Majette | 19.7% | 18.6% | 15.8% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
Gianna Dewey | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 10.9% |
Lizzie Cochran | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 21.1% |
Eva Blauvelt | 16.8% | 16.6% | 16.2% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
Elizabeth Starck | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 15.6% | 16.2% |
Avery Canavan | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 16.8% |
Adra Ivancich | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 10.9% |
Cho-Cho Williams | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 20.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.