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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+2.59vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.02+1.79vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.34+2.21vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.41-0.91vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.75-0.73vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.10-0.40vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.99-1.22vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.28-2.83vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-1.22-0.37vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont-3.52-0.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.2%1st Place
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3.79University of Rhode Island2.020.2%1st Place
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5.21Roger Williams University1.340.1%1st Place
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3.09Brown University2.410.2%1st Place
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4.27Bowdoin College1.750.1%1st Place
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5.6Salve Regina University1.100.1%1st Place
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5.78Tufts University0.990.0%1st Place
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5.17Tufts University1.280.1%1st Place
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8.63Fairfield University-1.220.0%1st Place
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9.88University of Vermont-3.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Snead | 19.0% | 17.8% | 16.8% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kylie Castellano | 16.0% | 16.9% | 15.9% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Pope | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 13.5% | 15.3% | 18.2% | 15.2% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Bayless | 24.4% | 21.0% | 16.2% | 16.4% | 11.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Slack | 13.1% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 17.3% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucie Ford | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 23.2% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Elena Gonick | 4.2% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 14.2% | 19.5% | 22.2% | 5.2% | 0.2% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 15.4% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Gasek | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 6.5% | 74.7% | 8.6% |
| Rowan Henke | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 7.4% | 91.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.