← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island2.02+2.74vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+1.66vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.41+0.16vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University1.34+1.12vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University0.99+0.73vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University1.28-0.81vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College1.75-2.68vs Predicted
-
8Salve Regina University1.10-2.42vs Predicted
-
9Fairfield University-1.22-0.37vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont-3.52-0.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.74University of Rhode Island2.020.2%1st Place
-
3.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.2%1st Place
-
3.16Brown University2.410.2%1st Place
-
5.12Roger Williams University1.340.1%1st Place
-
5.73Tufts University0.990.1%1st Place
-
5.19Tufts University1.280.1%1st Place
-
4.32Bowdoin College1.750.1%1st Place
-
5.58Salve Regina University1.100.1%1st Place
-
8.63Fairfield University-1.220.0%1st Place
-
9.87University of Vermont-3.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylie Castellano | 19.1% | 15.4% | 16.2% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Emma Snead | 17.6% | 18.2% | 15.1% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Bayless | 23.1% | 19.8% | 17.2% | 16.3% | 11.8% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Pope | 7.4% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 16.6% | 16.3% | 13.6% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Elena Gonick | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 13.7% | 19.8% | 23.2% | 5.1% | 0.3% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 9.4% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 15.6% | 17.1% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Slack | 10.3% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 16.3% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Lucie Ford | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 16.1% | 21.7% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Gasek | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 7.3% | 74.0% | 8.6% |
| Rowan Henke | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 7.6% | 91.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.