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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.41+2.07vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.02+1.82vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.34+2.22vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.28+1.23vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.75-0.71vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.99-0.23vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-3.40vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.10-2.48vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-1.22-0.38vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont-3.52-0.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.07Brown University2.410.3%1st Place
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3.82University of Rhode Island2.020.2%1st Place
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5.22Roger Williams University1.340.1%1st Place
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5.23Tufts University1.280.1%1st Place
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4.29Bowdoin College1.750.1%1st Place
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5.77Tufts University0.990.1%1st Place
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3.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.2%1st Place
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5.52Salve Regina University1.100.1%1st Place
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8.62Fairfield University-1.220.0%1st Place
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9.87University of Vermont-3.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Bayless | 27.9% | 18.9% | 16.5% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kylie Castellano | 15.5% | 18.2% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Pope | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 15.9% | 18.7% | 15.0% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 6.4% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 15.2% | 16.8% | 15.7% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Slack | 12.7% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Elena Gonick | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 16.3% | 25.5% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Emma Snead | 16.3% | 19.1% | 15.8% | 16.9% | 13.6% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lucie Ford | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 16.2% | 20.7% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Gasek | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 73.4% | 8.7% |
| Rowan Henke | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 7.6% | 91.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.