← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University1.28+4.17vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+1.65vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University1.34+2.22vs Predicted
-
4Brown University2.41-0.88vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University0.99+0.73vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island2.02-2.24vs Predicted
-
7Salve Regina University1.10-1.39vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College1.75-3.73vs Predicted
-
9Fairfield University-1.22-0.38vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont-3.52-0.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.17Tufts University1.280.1%1st Place
-
3.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.2%1st Place
-
5.22Roger Williams University1.340.1%1st Place
-
3.12Brown University2.410.2%1st Place
-
5.73Tufts University0.990.1%1st Place
-
3.76University of Rhode Island2.020.2%1st Place
-
5.61Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
-
4.27Bowdoin College1.750.1%1st Place
-
8.62Fairfield University-1.220.0%1st Place
-
9.87University of Vermont-3.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Talbot | 7.9% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 15.6% | 16.8% | 3.4% | 0.1% |
| Emma Snead | 17.3% | 18.0% | 16.5% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Pope | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 17.4% | 16.1% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Bayless | 23.5% | 21.3% | 16.1% | 16.2% | 11.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elena Gonick | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 18.3% | 23.7% | 5.7% | 0.2% |
| Kylie Castellano | 17.3% | 15.9% | 16.4% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucie Ford | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 17.5% | 21.5% | 3.8% | 0.2% |
| Kelsey Slack | 12.9% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Gasek | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 7.3% | 74.3% | 8.5% |
| Rowan Henke | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 7.6% | 91.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.