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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.02+2.78vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+1.64vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.34+2.19vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.28+1.22vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.75-0.72vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.41-2.95vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.10-1.38vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University-1.22+0.59vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.99-3.26vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont-3.52-0.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.78University of Rhode Island2.020.2%1st Place
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3.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.2%1st Place
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5.19Roger Williams University1.340.1%1st Place
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5.22Tufts University1.280.1%1st Place
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4.28Bowdoin College1.750.1%1st Place
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3.05Brown University2.410.3%1st Place
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5.62Salve Regina University1.100.1%1st Place
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8.59Fairfield University-1.220.0%1st Place
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5.74Tufts University0.990.1%1st Place
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9.88University of Vermont-3.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylie Castellano | 17.0% | 17.1% | 17.6% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Snead | 18.0% | 18.1% | 14.9% | 16.0% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Pope | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 15.1% | 18.2% | 15.1% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 16.1% | 16.5% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Kelsey Slack | 12.5% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Bayless | 25.1% | 20.9% | 16.7% | 15.4% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucie Ford | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 19.1% | 19.3% | 5.2% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Gasek | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 74.2% | 7.5% |
| Elena Gonick | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 16.5% | 23.8% | 5.2% | 0.1% |
| Rowan Henke | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 6.7% | 92.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.