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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Kylie Castellano 17.0% 17.1% 17.6% 12.1% 11.7% 11.5% 6.7% 5.3% 1.0% 0.0%
Emma Snead 18.0% 18.1% 14.9% 16.0% 11.7% 10.6% 6.8% 3.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Madeline Pope 8.7% 8.2% 10.3% 9.7% 11.8% 15.1% 18.2% 15.1% 2.9% 0.0%
Alexandra Talbot 6.9% 8.6% 9.9% 12.2% 14.2% 12.4% 16.1% 16.5% 2.9% 0.3%
Kelsey Slack 12.5% 13.4% 13.5% 14.3% 15.6% 12.2% 9.3% 7.9% 1.3% 0.0%
Caroline Bayless 25.1% 20.9% 16.7% 15.4% 10.7% 6.9% 3.1% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Lucie Ford 5.3% 6.8% 8.4% 10.9% 10.8% 14.1% 19.1% 19.3% 5.2% 0.1%
Lauren Gasek 0.2% 0.6% 1.3% 1.0% 2.1% 2.0% 4.0% 7.1% 74.2% 7.5%
Elena Gonick 6.2% 6.2% 7.4% 8.3% 11.4% 14.9% 16.5% 23.8% 5.2% 0.1%
Rowan Henke 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.5% 6.7% 92.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.