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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.02+2.79vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.41+1.14vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.34+2.20vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-0.36vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.99+0.73vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.28-0.80vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.10-1.43vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.75-3.75vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-1.22-0.38vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont-3.52-0.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79University of Rhode Island2.020.2%1st Place
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3.14Brown University2.410.2%1st Place
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5.2Roger Williams University1.340.1%1st Place
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3.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.2%1st Place
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5.73Tufts University0.990.1%1st Place
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5.2Tufts University1.280.1%1st Place
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5.57Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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4.25Bowdoin College1.750.1%1st Place
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8.62Fairfield University-1.220.0%1st Place
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9.86University of Vermont-3.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylie Castellano | 17.1% | 16.3% | 17.1% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Bayless | 24.5% | 19.5% | 16.5% | 16.6% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Pope | 8.3% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 16.4% | 15.1% | 17.1% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Emma Snead | 16.5% | 18.8% | 16.6% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Elena Gonick | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 20.4% | 22.8% | 5.7% | 0.2% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 16.4% | 15.4% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Lucie Ford | 4.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 17.9% | 20.5% | 3.9% | 0.2% |
| Kelsey Slack | 13.0% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 6.0% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Gasek | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 7.1% | 74.3% | 8.5% |
| Rowan Henke | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 7.4% | 91.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.