← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Caroline Bayless 27.8% 19.4% 15.7% 13.2% 10.4% 7.7% 3.6% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elena Gonick 6.6% 5.0% 7.6% 9.3% 10.4% 11.6% 19.1% 24.4% 5.8% 0.2%
Emma Snead 17.1% 16.3% 16.2% 16.1% 13.7% 9.7% 6.9% 3.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Madeline Pope 6.8% 9.1% 10.6% 12.0% 13.3% 16.5% 15.4% 13.6% 2.6% 0.1%
Kylie Castellano 16.5% 16.5% 16.3% 14.1% 14.3% 10.4% 7.4% 4.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Lucie Ford 7.3% 8.6% 7.3% 8.5% 11.4% 13.1% 18.1% 21.0% 4.7% 0.0%
Kelsey Slack 10.4% 14.3% 15.1% 14.3% 13.5% 14.8% 10.7% 6.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Alexandra Talbot 7.1% 9.6% 10.1% 11.8% 11.3% 14.5% 15.0% 16.7% 3.9% 0.0%
Lauren Gasek 0.3% 1.1% 1.0% 0.7% 1.6% 1.7% 3.6% 7.6% 73.8% 8.6%
Rowan Henke 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.2% 0.7% 7.6% 91.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.