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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.41+2.08vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.99+3.81vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+0.70vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.34+1.11vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.02-1.23vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.10-0.47vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.75-2.71vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.28-2.79vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-1.22-0.37vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont-3.52-0.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.08Brown University2.410.3%1st Place
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5.81Tufts University0.990.1%1st Place
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3.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.2%1st Place
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5.11Roger Williams University1.340.1%1st Place
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3.77University of Rhode Island2.020.2%1st Place
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5.53Salve Regina University1.100.1%1st Place
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4.29Bowdoin College1.750.1%1st Place
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5.21Tufts University1.280.1%1st Place
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8.63Fairfield University-1.220.0%1st Place
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9.88University of Vermont-3.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Bayless | 27.8% | 19.4% | 15.7% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elena Gonick | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 19.1% | 24.4% | 5.8% | 0.2% |
| Emma Snead | 17.1% | 16.3% | 16.2% | 16.1% | 13.7% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Pope | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 16.5% | 15.4% | 13.6% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Kylie Castellano | 16.5% | 16.5% | 16.3% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lucie Ford | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 18.1% | 21.0% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Slack | 10.4% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 10.7% | 6.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 7.1% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 16.7% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Gasek | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 7.6% | 73.8% | 8.6% |
| Rowan Henke | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 7.6% | 91.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.