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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.41+2.12vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.99+3.78vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.10+2.68vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.02-0.22vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.34+0.05vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-1.22+2.55vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.28-1.77vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-4.40vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.75-4.65vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont-3.52-0.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12Brown University2.410.2%1st Place
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5.78Tufts University0.990.1%1st Place
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5.68Salve Regina University1.100.1%1st Place
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3.78University of Rhode Island2.020.1%1st Place
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5.05Roger Williams University1.340.1%1st Place
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8.55Fairfield University-1.220.0%1st Place
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5.23Tufts University1.280.1%1st Place
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3.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.2%1st Place
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4.35Bowdoin College1.750.1%1st Place
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9.87University of Vermont-3.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Bayless | 24.4% | 22.8% | 15.4% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Elena Gonick | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 24.9% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucie Ford | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 14.5% | 19.2% | 20.0% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Kylie Castellano | 14.7% | 18.1% | 16.5% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Pope | 9.7% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 15.1% | 15.2% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Gasek | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 8.4% | 70.7% | 9.5% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 18.4% | 14.6% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Emma Snead | 18.3% | 17.0% | 16.9% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Slack | 12.0% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Henke | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 8.3% | 90.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.