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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.14+4.29vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.41+1.01vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.99+2.72vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.28+1.06vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-1.54vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.02-2.38vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.34-2.02vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.10-2.60vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-1.22-0.42vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont-3.52-0.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.29Bowdoin College1.140.1%1st Place
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3.01Brown University2.410.3%1st Place
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5.72Tufts University0.990.1%1st Place
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5.06Tufts University1.280.1%1st Place
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3.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.2%1st Place
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3.62University of Rhode Island2.020.2%1st Place
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4.98Roger Williams University1.340.1%1st Place
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5.4Salve Regina University1.100.1%1st Place
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8.58Fairfield University-1.220.0%1st Place
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9.87University of Vermont-3.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teagan Cunningham | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 15.9% | 17.5% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Bayless | 25.8% | 20.2% | 19.0% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elena Gonick | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 14.0% | 18.1% | 22.9% | 5.5% | 0.1% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 7.5% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 16.3% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Emma Snead | 18.9% | 18.8% | 17.7% | 15.9% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kylie Castellano | 19.2% | 16.5% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Pope | 7.5% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 16.6% | 15.1% | 12.0% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Lucie Ford | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 17.2% | 17.3% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Gasek | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 7.6% | 73.0% | 8.6% |
| Rowan Henke | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 7.5% | 91.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.