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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.41+1.97vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.14+3.37vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+0.55vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.99+1.65vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.10+0.38vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.28-1.00vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.02-3.36vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University-1.22+0.58vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont-3.52+0.84vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.34-4.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.97Brown University2.410.3%1st Place
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5.37Bowdoin College1.140.1%1st Place
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3.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.2%1st Place
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5.65Tufts University0.990.0%1st Place
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5.38Salve Regina University1.100.1%1st Place
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5.0Tufts University1.280.1%1st Place
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3.64University of Rhode Island2.020.2%1st Place
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8.58Fairfield University-1.220.0%1st Place
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9.84University of Vermont-3.520.0%1st Place
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5.03Roger Williams University1.340.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Bayless | 28.4% | 21.7% | 15.4% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 16.8% | 16.0% | 5.1% | 0.4% |
| Emma Snead | 18.3% | 18.4% | 16.0% | 16.9% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elena Gonick | 4.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 20.8% | 6.2% | 0.1% |
| Lucie Ford | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 16.8% | 15.8% | 19.0% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Kylie Castellano | 15.3% | 18.1% | 20.0% | 15.3% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Gasek | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 8.0% | 71.4% | 9.0% |
| Rowan Henke | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 7.5% | 90.2% |
| Madeline Pope | 7.7% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 16.2% | 13.6% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.