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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.40+3.00vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.28+2.32vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.82+2.11vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.98+1.25vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.79+0.34vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.16-1.27vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-1.57vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.26-1.45vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-4.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.0Georgetown University2.4017.1%1st Place
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4.32U. S. Naval Academy2.2814.4%1st Place
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5.11George Washington University1.829.9%1st Place
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5.25Fordham University1.988.5%1st Place
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5.34Cornell University1.7910.1%1st Place
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4.73University of Pennsylvania2.1611.2%1st Place
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5.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.779.7%1st Place
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6.55Old Dominion University1.264.6%1st Place
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4.26St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5714.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Mateo Di Blasi | 17.1% | 15.8% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% |
Jack Welburn | 14.4% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 5.1% |
Tyler Wood | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 9.4% |
Jacob Zils | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 11.3% |
Sophia Devling | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 13.9% |
Jackson McAliley | 11.2% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 7.0% |
Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 13.9% |
Blake Goodwin | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 17.2% | 32.2% |
Owen Hennessey | 14.6% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.