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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.41+1.97vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.28+3.11vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+0.54vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.34+0.95vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.14+0.32vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.99-0.42vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.10-1.56vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.02-4.35vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-1.22-0.43vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont-3.52-0.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.97Brown University2.410.3%1st Place
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5.11Tufts University1.280.1%1st Place
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3.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.2%1st Place
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4.95Roger Williams University1.340.1%1st Place
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5.32Bowdoin College1.140.1%1st Place
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5.58Tufts University0.990.1%1st Place
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5.44Salve Regina University1.100.1%1st Place
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3.65University of Rhode Island2.020.2%1st Place
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8.57Fairfield University-1.220.0%1st Place
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9.87University of Vermont-3.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Bayless | 28.2% | 21.4% | 15.4% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 8.7% | 6.7% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 14.7% | 17.1% | 14.1% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Emma Snead | 17.7% | 18.6% | 17.2% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Pope | 7.5% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 18.8% | 14.2% | 5.1% | 0.1% |
| Elena Gonick | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 22.4% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Lucie Ford | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 15.4% | 19.9% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Kylie Castellano | 16.9% | 18.7% | 15.5% | 16.2% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Gasek | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 8.1% | 72.2% | 8.5% |
| Rowan Henke | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 7.3% | 91.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.