← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.41+1.97vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University1.34+3.01vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island2.02+0.69vs Predicted
-
4Salve Regina University1.10+1.43vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College1.14+0.30vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-2.55vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University0.99-1.34vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University1.28-2.95vs Predicted
-
9Fairfield University-1.22-0.42vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont-3.52-0.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.97Brown University2.410.3%1st Place
-
5.01Roger Williams University1.340.1%1st Place
-
3.69University of Rhode Island2.020.2%1st Place
-
5.43Salve Regina University1.100.1%1st Place
-
5.3Bowdoin College1.140.1%1st Place
-
3.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.2%1st Place
-
5.66Tufts University0.990.1%1st Place
-
5.05Tufts University1.280.1%1st Place
-
8.58Fairfield University-1.220.0%1st Place
-
9.87University of Vermont-3.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Bayless | 27.0% | 22.4% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Pope | 8.8% | 7.9% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Kylie Castellano | 18.3% | 15.1% | 16.5% | 14.0% | 16.2% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lucie Ford | 5.6% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 16.1% | 18.9% | 4.0% | 0.1% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 7.4% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 18.0% | 15.3% | 4.4% | 0.1% |
| Emma Snead | 19.5% | 18.5% | 17.4% | 15.6% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Elena Gonick | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 16.8% | 22.2% | 4.2% | 0.2% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 7.8% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Gasek | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 7.7% | 73.0% | 8.5% |
| Rowan Henke | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 7.3% | 91.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.