← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College1.14+4.29vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island2.02+1.66vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University1.28+2.18vs Predicted
-
4Brown University2.41-1.02vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-1.55vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University1.10-0.58vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University0.99-1.34vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University1.34-3.10vs Predicted
-
9Fairfield University-1.22-0.41vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont-3.52-0.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.29Bowdoin College1.140.1%1st Place
-
3.66University of Rhode Island2.020.2%1st Place
-
5.18Tufts University1.280.1%1st Place
-
2.98Brown University2.410.3%1st Place
-
3.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.2%1st Place
-
5.42Salve Regina University1.100.1%1st Place
-
5.66Tufts University0.990.0%1st Place
-
4.9Roger Williams University1.340.1%1st Place
-
8.59Fairfield University-1.220.0%1st Place
-
9.87University of Vermont-3.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teagan Cunningham | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 17.4% | 16.9% | 3.8% | 0.1% |
| Kylie Castellano | 17.0% | 17.8% | 16.8% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 7.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 16.1% | 17.5% | 14.2% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Bayless | 26.6% | 20.4% | 16.8% | 16.5% | 10.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Snead | 19.9% | 17.1% | 18.8% | 15.8% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucie Ford | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 19.6% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Elena Gonick | 4.3% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 19.2% | 20.6% | 4.4% | 0.2% |
| Madeline Pope | 9.0% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 15.9% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Gasek | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 6.6% | 74.1% | 8.5% |
| Rowan Henke | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 7.3% | 91.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.