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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.02+2.64vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+1.52vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.34+2.04vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.14+1.33vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.99+0.58vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.41-3.06vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.10-1.55vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.28-2.94vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-1.22-0.41vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont-3.52-0.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.64University of Rhode Island2.020.2%1st Place
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3.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.2%1st Place
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5.04Roger Williams University1.340.1%1st Place
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5.33Bowdoin College1.140.1%1st Place
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5.58Tufts University0.990.1%1st Place
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2.94Brown University2.410.3%1st Place
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5.45Salve Regina University1.100.1%1st Place
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5.06Tufts University1.280.1%1st Place
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8.59Fairfield University-1.220.0%1st Place
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9.86University of Vermont-3.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylie Castellano | 18.9% | 17.0% | 17.0% | 14.5% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Emma Snead | 18.7% | 19.7% | 14.0% | 15.6% | 14.4% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Pope | 9.0% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 6.3% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 17.4% | 16.7% | 3.3% | 0.1% |
| Elena Gonick | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 18.4% | 20.7% | 4.9% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Bayless | 26.9% | 21.2% | 17.6% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucie Ford | 5.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 17.5% | 18.2% | 3.4% | 0.2% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 7.8% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Gasek | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 7.3% | 73.6% | 8.5% |
| Rowan Henke | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 7.4% | 91.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.