Race 15A

rhody-riveter-womens

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Caroline Bayless 28.3% 21.0% 15.7% 14.0% 9.3% 6.4% 3.1% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Teagan Cunningham 7.4% 6.3% 9.4% 11.7% 11.8% 14.8% 17.5% 16.9% 4.1% 0.1%
Madeline Pope 8.1% 9.1% 11.2% 10.2% 14.2% 14.7% 17.8% 12.4% 2.3% 0.0%
Kylie Castellano 16.0% 18.0% 17.4% 16.1% 13.3% 9.7% 6.0% 3.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Alexandra Talbot 8.9% 9.5% 9.9% 11.3% 12.9% 15.7% 16.0% 12.3% 3.5% 0.0%
Elena Gonick 6.5% 7.6% 7.7% 9.2% 12.3% 11.8% 17.2% 22.2% 5.5% 0.0%
Emma Snead 17.6% 18.6% 18.8% 15.2% 13.6% 7.7% 5.4% 2.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Lucie Ford 6.5% 8.8% 9.3% 11.0% 10.5% 16.9% 13.3% 19.0% 4.7% 0.0%
Lauren Gasek 0.6% 0.9% 0.6% 1.2% 2.1% 2.2% 3.7% 8.3% 71.7% 8.7%
Rowan Henke 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.7% 7.7% 91.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.