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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.96+2.66vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.20+1.17vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+2.99vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.04-0.21vs Predicted
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5Fordham University0.71+1.02vs Predicted
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6George Washington University0.93-0.19vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-1.11vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.97-2.67vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.16-3.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66Cornell University1.9617.6%1st Place
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3.17Georgetown University2.2024.1%1st Place
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5.99St. Mary's College of Maryland0.676.3%1st Place
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3.79U. S. Naval Academy2.0416.7%1st Place
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6.02Fordham University0.715.7%1st Place
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5.81George Washington University0.937.0%1st Place
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5.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.916.7%1st Place
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5.33Old Dominion University0.977.3%1st Place
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5.34University of Pennsylvania1.168.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Winborne Majette | 17.6% | 18.4% | 16.2% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
Piper Holthus | 24.1% | 20.1% | 18.4% | 13.8% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
Cho-Cho Williams | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 16.2% | 20.2% |
Eva Blauvelt | 16.7% | 16.3% | 16.6% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
Lizzie Cochran | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 15.8% | 20.5% |
Avery Canavan | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 16.4% | 15.8% |
Elizabeth Starck | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 15.2% | 18.7% |
Gianna Dewey | 7.3% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 10.5% |
Adra Ivancich | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.