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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.98+4.25vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+2.25vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.82+2.04vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.79+1.26vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+0.45vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.40-1.91vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.28-2.61vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.26-1.55vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.16-4.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.25Fordham University1.989.8%1st Place
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4.25St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5715.4%1st Place
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5.04George Washington University1.8210.1%1st Place
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5.26Cornell University1.7910.3%1st Place
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5.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.778.1%1st Place
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4.09Georgetown University2.4015.7%1st Place
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4.39U. S. Naval Academy2.2813.6%1st Place
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6.45Old Dominion University1.265.3%1st Place
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4.81University of Pennsylvania2.1611.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Jacob Zils | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 12.2% |
Owen Hennessey | 15.4% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 4.1% |
Tyler Wood | 10.1% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% |
Sophia Devling | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 12.2% |
Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 13.9% |
Mateo Di Blasi | 15.7% | 15.2% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.9% |
Jack Welburn | 13.6% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.1% |
Blake Goodwin | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 31.4% |
Jackson McAliley | 11.6% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.