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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University4.49+5.65vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63+4.21vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin4.10+5.29vs Predicted
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4Washington College3.65+6.22vs Predicted
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5Harvard University4.17+3.13vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.73+7.56vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.23+4.98vs Predicted
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8Boston College4.89-2.56vs Predicted
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9Boston University4.07-0.84vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.68-0.06vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-1.81vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida4.17-3.71vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.84+0.24vs Predicted
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14Tufts University4.08-5.55vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.79-5.53vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.02-3.32vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-6.84vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara2.87-4.72vs Predicted
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19Tulane University1.64-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.65Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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6.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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8.29University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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10.22Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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8.13Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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13.56Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
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11.98Yale University3.230.0%1st Place
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5.44Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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8.16Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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9.94Connecticut College3.680.0%1st Place
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9.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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8.29University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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13.24George Washington University2.840.0%1st Place
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8.45Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.790.1%1st Place
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12.68University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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10.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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13.28University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.0%1st Place
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16.67Tulane University1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Strammer | 8.9% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Ingham | 11.1% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Michael Whitford | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| John Stokes | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Sachs | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 19.3% | 11.6% |
| Rob Struckett | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 4.2% |
| Tyler Sinks | 14.0% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Greenfield | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Maggie Shea | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Zachary Marks | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| William Ricketson | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 9.7% |
| William Haeger | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Sam Padnos | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Chanel Miller | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 6.9% |
| Eamon Glackin | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 10.1% |
| Schuyler Hemmerdinger | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 14.2% | 50.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.