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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University4.36+4.58vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.78+5.84vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.87+8.66vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.70+4.16vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin3.36+4.80vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.74+1.94vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.98+0.05vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-0.50vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.63-0.77vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.88-2.77vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.86+0.71vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida3.48-2.64vs Predicted
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13Tulane University1.90+2.08vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara3.26-3.90vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-3.21vs Predicted
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16Washington College2.29-2.06vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.22-6.86vs Predicted
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18George Washington University2.23-3.84vs Predicted
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19Fordham University2.50-6.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.58Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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7.84Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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11.66University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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8.16Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.8University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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7.94Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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7.05Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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7.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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8.23Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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7.23Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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11.71University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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9.36University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
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15.08Tulane University1.900.0%1st Place
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10.1University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.1%1st Place
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11.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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13.94Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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10.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.220.0%1st Place
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14.16George Washington University2.230.0%1st Place
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12.76Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Kopp | 12.1% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Hughes | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.2% |
| Massimo Soriano | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Colin Smith | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Sommer | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Perkins | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Alex Cook | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% |
| SEAN Ross | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Mackenzie Milne | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 15.4% | 30.2% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 5.3% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% |
| Bradley Milliken | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 15.4% | 16.5% |
| Timothy Zacher | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 1.3% |
| Meredith Carroll | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 16.3% | 16.5% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.