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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+2.14vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University0.97+3.34vs Predicted
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3George Washington University0.93+2.83vs Predicted
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4Fordham University0.71+2.09vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.16+0.21vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+0.03vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.04-3.20vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.96-4.45vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.14Georgetown University2.2023.8%1st Place
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5.34Old Dominion University0.978.1%1st Place
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5.83George Washington University0.935.5%1st Place
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6.09Fordham University0.715.7%1st Place
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5.21University of Pennsylvania1.168.2%1st Place
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6.03St. Mary's College of Maryland0.675.8%1st Place
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3.8U. S. Naval Academy2.0417.2%1st Place
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3.55Cornell University1.9619.9%1st Place
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6.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.916.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 23.8% | 21.9% | 17.5% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Gianna Dewey | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 9.5% |
| Avery Canavan | 5.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 16.7% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 18.2% | 19.7% |
| Adra Ivancich | 8.2% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 10.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 17.1% | 20.5% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 17.2% | 17.6% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Winborne Majette | 19.9% | 17.0% | 18.0% | 14.9% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 15.8% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.