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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.40+3.06vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.28+2.43vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.79+2.35vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.16+0.76vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-0.80vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-0.55vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.26-0.58vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.98-2.73vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.82-3.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.06Georgetown University2.4016.2%1st Place
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4.43U. S. Naval Academy2.2813.7%1st Place
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5.35Cornell University1.799.4%1st Place
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4.76University of Pennsylvania2.1610.8%1st Place
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4.2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5715.4%1st Place
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5.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.778.8%1st Place
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6.42Old Dominion University1.265.9%1st Place
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5.27Fordham University1.989.1%1st Place
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5.05George Washington University1.8210.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Mateo Di Blasi | 16.2% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
Jack Welburn | 13.7% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 5.5% |
Sophia Devling | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 12.7% |
Jackson McAliley | 10.8% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 6.6% |
Owen Hennessey | 15.4% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 3.6% |
Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 14.7% |
Blake Goodwin | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 15.7% | 31.6% |
Jacob Zils | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 12.3% |
Tyler Wood | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.