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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.98+6.02vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin3.36+7.59vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.88+4.45vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.48+5.03vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.87+6.95vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+1.30vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.63+1.46vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.78-0.03vs Predicted
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9Harvard University4.36-3.51vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.74-2.20vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.22-0.81vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+0.29vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara3.26-3.25vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.86-2.16vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.23-1.02vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.70-8.09vs Predicted
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17Washington College2.29-3.12vs Predicted
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18Fordham University2.50-4.89vs Predicted
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19Tulane University1.90-4.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.02Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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9.59University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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7.45Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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9.03University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
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11.95University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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7.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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8.46Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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7.97Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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5.49Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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7.8Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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10.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.220.0%1st Place
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12.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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9.75University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.1%1st Place
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11.84University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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13.98George Washington University2.230.0%1st Place
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7.91Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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13.88Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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13.11Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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14.97Tulane University1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Smith | 6.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Alex Cook | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| SEAN Ross | 4.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Hughes | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% |
| Andrew Sommer | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Daniel Perkins | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Kevin Martland | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Brendan Kopp | 14.3% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Zacher | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 5.3% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 5.2% |
| Meredith Carroll | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 21.0% |
| Massimo Soriano | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 15.0% | 17.2% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 11.5% |
| Mackenzie Milne | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 15.9% | 26.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.