← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at San Diego1.57+2.03vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Davis0.41+3.48vs Predicted
-
3University of California at San Diego1.45+0.23vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Irvine-1.37+6.59vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Los Angeles0.52+0.45vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Los Angeles-0.10+1.18vs Predicted
-
7California State University Channel Islands-0.97+2.19vs Predicted
-
8University of California at San Diego-0.73+0.75vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Berkeley-0.24-1.52vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Berkeley0.73-5.15vs Predicted
-
11California State University Channel Islands-0.97-1.81vs Predicted
-
12San Diego State University-0.29-4.37vs Predicted
-
13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57-1.95vs Predicted
-
14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.74-2.71vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Santa Cruz-1.14-5.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.03University of California at San Diego1.570.3%1st Place
-
5.48University of California at Davis0.410.1%1st Place
-
3.23University of California at San Diego1.450.2%1st Place
-
10.59University of California at Irvine-1.370.0%1st Place
-
5.45University of California at Los Angeles0.520.1%1st Place
-
7.18University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
-
9.19California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
-
8.75University of California at San Diego-0.730.0%1st Place
-
7.48University of California at Berkeley-0.240.0%1st Place
-
4.85University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
-
9.19California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
-
7.63San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
-
11.05Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.570.0%1st Place
-
11.29Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.740.0%1st Place
-
9.8University of California at Santa Cruz-1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nigel Lipps | 25.8% | 26.0% | 15.1% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Samuels | 8.1% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 24.5% | 20.2% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Neil Gompf | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 20.0% | 17.6% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 8.0% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Fisher Price | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 10.2% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Erik Hallback | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Haugen | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 17.0% | 17.5% | 23.9% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 17.2% | 31.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Gravallese | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.