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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego0.50+2.51vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-0.15+3.01vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-1.11+4.76vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.29-0.04vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine-1.02+2.31vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26+2.01vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.09-2.62vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz-2.18+2.32vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands-1.81+0.55vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-0.93-2.94vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.98-1.23vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.75-5.19vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands-1.81-3.45vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-1.03-6.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.51University of California at San Diego0.500.2%1st Place
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5.01University of California at San Diego-0.150.1%1st Place
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7.76University of California at Berkeley-1.110.0%1st Place
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3.96University of California at Los Angeles0.290.2%1st Place
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7.31University of California at Irvine-1.020.1%1st Place
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8.01Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
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4.38University of California at Los Angeles0.090.2%1st Place
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10.32University of California at Santa Cruz-2.180.0%1st Place
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9.55California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
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7.06University of California at Davis-0.930.1%1st Place
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9.77Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.980.0%1st Place
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6.81University of California at San Diego-0.750.1%1st Place
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9.55California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
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7.56University of California at Berkeley-1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Barton | 21.5% | 19.6% | 16.6% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly Rowland | 9.9% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Zaleski | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 18.6% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Paulo Garcia Lopez | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Macy Rowe | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 16.1% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julio Hurtado | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 12.6% | 19.5% | 30.9% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 17.4% | 20.7% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Tegeler | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 16.7% | 22.5% | 0.0% |
| Canyon Breyer | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 17.4% | 20.7% | 0.0% |
| James Guiraud | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.