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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles0.09+3.49vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz-2.18+8.36vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.15+2.08vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.29-0.03vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis-0.93+2.02vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine-1.02+1.35vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-1.11+0.58vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.75-1.34vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.98+0.97vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands-1.81-0.54vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-1.03-3.76vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-1.81-2.54vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26-4.74vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego0.50-10.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.49University of California at Los Angeles0.090.1%1st Place
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10.36University of California at Santa Cruz-2.180.0%1st Place
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5.08University of California at San Diego-0.150.1%1st Place
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3.97University of California at Los Angeles0.290.2%1st Place
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7.02University of California at Davis-0.930.1%1st Place
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7.35University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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7.58University of California at Berkeley-1.110.1%1st Place
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6.66University of California at San Diego-0.750.1%1st Place
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9.97Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.980.0%1st Place
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9.46California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
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7.24University of California at Berkeley-1.030.0%1st Place
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9.46California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
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8.26Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
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3.57University of California at San Diego0.500.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Marshall | 13.1% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julio Hurtado | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 19.6% | 31.3% | 0.0% |
| Molly Rowland | 11.4% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 17.5% | 16.5% | 13.5% | 15.7% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Paulo Garcia Lopez | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Zaleski | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Canyon Breyer | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Tegeler | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 14.4% | 17.7% | 25.8% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 16.7% | 19.0% | 0.0% |
| James Guiraud | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 16.7% | 19.0% | 0.0% |
| Macy Rowe | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 20.2% | 19.9% | 16.7% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.