← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at San Diego0.50+2.53vs Predicted
-
2University of California at San Diego-0.15+2.99vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Davis-0.93+4.22vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Los Angeles0.29-0.05vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Berkeley-1.11+2.54vs Predicted
-
6University of California at San Diego-0.75+0.57vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Irvine-1.02+0.26vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Berkeley-1.03-0.62vs Predicted
-
9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26-0.85vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Los Angeles0.09-5.56vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Santa Cruz-2.18-0.75vs Predicted
-
12California State University Channel Islands-1.81-2.36vs Predicted
-
13California State University Channel Islands-1.81-3.36vs Predicted
-
14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.98-3.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.53University of California at San Diego0.500.2%1st Place
-
4.99University of California at San Diego-0.150.1%1st Place
-
7.22University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
-
3.95University of California at Los Angeles0.290.2%1st Place
-
7.54University of California at Berkeley-1.110.0%1st Place
-
6.57University of California at San Diego-0.750.1%1st Place
-
7.26University of California at Irvine-1.020.1%1st Place
-
7.38University of California at Berkeley-1.030.1%1st Place
-
8.15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
-
4.44University of California at Los Angeles0.090.2%1st Place
-
10.25University of California at Santa Cruz-2.180.0%1st Place
-
9.64California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
-
9.64California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
-
10.08Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Barton | 22.2% | 18.2% | 15.3% | 14.9% | 11.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Rowland | 11.1% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 17.5% | 16.9% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Zaleski | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Canyon Breyer | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Paulo Garcia Lopez | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| James Guiraud | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Macy Rowe | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 15.4% | 14.0% | 15.6% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julio Hurtado | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 18.5% | 28.8% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 14.5% | 19.1% | 19.3% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 14.5% | 19.1% | 19.3% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Tegeler | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 17.3% | 27.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.