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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles0.09+3.42vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-0.15+3.00vs Predicted
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3University of California at Davis-0.93+4.24vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine-1.02+3.44vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.29-1.08vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-1.03+1.34vs Predicted
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7California State University Channel Islands-1.81+2.38vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.75-1.45vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-1.11-1.28vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.98-0.13vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego0.50-7.62vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26-3.77vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz-2.18-2.49vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-1.81-4.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.42University of California at Los Angeles0.090.1%1st Place
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5.0University of California at San Diego-0.150.1%1st Place
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7.24University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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7.44University of California at Irvine-1.020.1%1st Place
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3.92University of California at Los Angeles0.290.2%1st Place
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7.34University of California at Berkeley-1.030.1%1st Place
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9.38California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
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6.55University of California at San Diego-0.750.1%1st Place
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7.72University of California at Berkeley-1.110.0%1st Place
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9.87Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.980.0%1st Place
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3.38University of California at San Diego0.500.2%1st Place
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8.23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
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10.51University of California at Santa Cruz-2.180.0%1st Place
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9.38California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Marshall | 13.4% | 14.1% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Rowland | 12.3% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Paulo Garcia Lopez | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 17.7% | 17.9% | 15.1% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Guiraud | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 19.2% | 16.9% | 0.0% |
| Canyon Breyer | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Zaleski | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Tegeler | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 17.3% | 24.8% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 22.5% | 21.1% | 16.4% | 13.6% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Macy Rowe | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Julio Hurtado | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 35.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 19.2% | 16.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.