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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego0.50+2.55vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles0.09+2.40vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.15+2.07vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine-1.02+3.46vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-1.11+2.55vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.75+0.54vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26+1.00vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.29-4.12vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-1.03-1.53vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.98-0.11vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands-1.81-1.66vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-0.93-4.68vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz-2.18-2.45vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-1.81-4.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55University of California at San Diego0.500.2%1st Place
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4.4University of California at Los Angeles0.090.1%1st Place
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5.07University of California at San Diego-0.150.1%1st Place
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7.46University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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7.55University of California at Berkeley-1.110.1%1st Place
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6.54University of California at San Diego-0.750.1%1st Place
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8.0Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
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3.88University of California at Los Angeles0.290.2%1st Place
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7.47University of California at Berkeley-1.030.0%1st Place
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9.89Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.980.0%1st Place
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9.34California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
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7.32University of California at Davis-0.930.1%1st Place
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10.55University of California at Santa Cruz-2.180.0%1st Place
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9.34California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Barton | 22.2% | 17.9% | 15.9% | 14.1% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 14.7% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Rowland | 10.3% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Paulo Garcia Lopez | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Zaleski | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Canyon Breyer | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Macy Rowe | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 0.0% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 17.4% | 16.8% | 15.5% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Guiraud | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Tegeler | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 20.4% | 23.4% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 17.6% | 16.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Julio Hurtado | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 16.9% | 35.4% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 17.6% | 16.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.